NCAAF 2026 Yards Per Play Power Ratings Handicapping against Vegas Odds
2026 Week 3 - Full Season
Last updated 2026-09-18 23:15:07
This tables compares yards per play lines against the sportbook odds. All games with sides which are offering more points then sportsbook are highlighted in green. These represent lines which may be mispriced by sportsbooks. This table does not take into account Injuries, weather or other factors. This strictly calculates the yards per play against spread. These lines should be used along with other factors when selecting a side.
| Gamedate | Team | W/L | Rank | SOR | SOS | Net YPP | YPP Line | FPI Line | Sag Line | Away Vegas Line | Opponent | W/L | Rank | SOR | SOS | Net YPP | YPP Line | FPI Line | Sag Line | Home Vegas Line | Line Advantage | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 15:30:00 |  Florida State Seminoles |
1-1 | 37 | 71 | 50 | 2.43 | 10.4 | 18.5 | 21.0 | 19.5 |  @ Alabama Crimson Tide |
2-0 | 7 | 6 | 61 | 3.54 | -10.4 | -18.5 | -21.0 | -19.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 12:00:00 |  Kansas Jayhawks |
1-1 | 62 | 106 | 56 | 0.39 | 15.5 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 6.5 |  vs Arizona State Sun Devils |
1-1 | 47 | 88 | 11 | 2.27 | -15.5 | -7.0 | -9.0 | -6.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 12:00:00 |  Georgia Bulldogs |
2-0 | 4 | 58 | 136 | 3.28 | -21.7 | -25.3 | -7.4 | -24.5 |  @ Arkansas Razorbacks |
1-1 | 77 | 81 | 23 | -0.42 | 21.7 | 25.3 | 7.4 | 24.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 20:00:00 |  Arkansas State Red Wolves |
1-1 | 105 | 107 | 94 | -0.74 | 18.9 | 18.2 | 18.4 | 19.5 |  @ TCU Horned Frogs |
1-1 | 41 | 112 | 74 | 1.64 | -18.9 | -18.2 | -18.4 | -19.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:00:00 |  Florida Gators |
2-0 | 15 | 53 | 133 | 1.89 | -5.1 | 1.0 | -0.3 | -1.0 |  @ Auburn Tigers |
2-0 | 23 | 8 | 67 | 0.68 | 5.1 | -1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 16:00:00 |  Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
1-1 | 94 | 109 | 13 | 0.79 | 9.5 | 17.8 | 14.7 | 19.0 |  @ Baylor Bears |
1-1 | 35 | 78 | 33 | 1.77 | -9.5 | -17.8 | -14.7 | -19.0 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:30:00 |  BYU Cougars |
2-0 | 18 | 15 | 82 | 2.20 | -3.9 | -17.8 | -11.7 | -17.5 |  @ Colorado State Rams |
2-0 | 91 | 56 | 134 | 1.17 | 3.9 | 17.8 | 11.7 | 17.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 15:30:00 |  Miami (OH) RedHawks |
1-1 | 112 | 90 | 41 | 0.86 | 24.9 | 22.3 | 19.6 | 14.5 |  @ Cincinnati Bearcats |
2-0 | 34 | 37 | 121 | 4.15 | -24.9 | -22.3 | -19.6 | -14.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:30:00 |  Colorado Buffaloes |
2-0 | 50 | 9 | 72 | 1.17 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 3.5 |  @ Northwestern Wildcats |
1-0 | 57 | 42 | 110 | 1.12 | -2.7 | -1.0 | -4.7 | -3.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 12:30:00 |  Eastern Michigan Eagles |
1-2 | 133 | 124 | 85 | -0.95 | 1.1 | 23.6 | 24.4 | 23.5 |  @ Wisconsin Badgers |
1-1 | 56 | 86 | 7 | -1.23 | -1.1 | -23.6 | -24.4 | -23.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 18:00:00 |  Florida Intl Golden Panthers |
1-1 | 109 | 82 | 78 | 0.95 | -11.7 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 7.0 |  @ Florida Atlantic Owls |
1-1 | 115 | 55 | 21 | -1.26 | 11.7 | -1.5 | -6.5 | -7.0 | Yes_fpi | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:00:00 |  Georgia Southern Eagles |
1-1 | 100 | 102 | 64 | 1.78 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 3.5 |  @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks |
1-2 | 106 | 122 | 84 | 1.85 | -3.5 | -1.7 | -4.6 | -3.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:00:00 |  Georgia State Panthers |
2-0 | 107 | 40 | 124 | 0.80 | 21.5 | 16.8 | 19.2 | 18.5 |  @ UCF Knights |
1-1 | 48 | 101 | 40 | 3.58 | -21.5 | -16.8 | -19.2 | -18.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-18 20:00:00 |  Houston Cougars |
2-0 | 33 | 41 | 125 | 2.73 | -3.2 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 7.5 |  @ Texas Tech Red Raiders |
2-0 | 16 | 23 | 96 | 1.80 | 3.2 | -9.9 | -5.1 | -7.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 22:00:00 |  James Madison Dukes |
2-0 | 68 | 51 | 131 | 2.16 | -10.8 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 2.5 |  @ San Diego State Aztecs |
1-1 | 72 | 98 | 57 | 0.09 | 10.8 | -1.8 | -5.2 | -2.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:45:00 |  Kennesaw State Owls |
1-1 | 114 | 119 | 130 | 1.22 | 9.9 | 31.6 | 30.3 | 35.5 |  @ Tennessee Volunteers |
2-0 | 10 | 11 | 73 | 2.26 | -9.9 | -31.6 | -30.3 | -35.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 15:30:00 |  Kentucky Wildcats |
1-1 | 51 | 61 | 19 | 0.25 | 11.3 | 21.9 | 12.8 | 16.5 |  @ Texas A&M Aggies |
2-0 | 8 | 17 | 87 | 1.50 | -11.3 | -21.9 | -12.8 | -16.5 | Yes_fpi | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 15:30:00 |  SMU Mustangs |
2-0 | 24 | 4 | 54 | 2.39 | 0.3 | 1.1 | -1.7 | 1.5 |  @ Louisville Cardinals |
1-1 | 28 | 74 | 30 | 1.99 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 1.7 | -1.5 | Yes_Sagarin | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:30:00 |  LSU Tigers |
2-0 | 9 | 12 | 75 | 2.75 | -5.9 | -4.1 | -13.4 | -2.5 |  @ Ole Miss Rebels |
2-0 | 17 | 5 | 55 | 1.42 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 13.4 | 2.5 | Yes_Sagarin | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:30:00 |  Virginia Tech Hokies |
2-0 | 31 | 45 | 126 | 1.57 | 11.3 | -1.8 | -5.5 | -3.0 |  @ Maryland Terrapins |
2-0 | 45 | 38 | 123 | 2.82 | -11.3 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 3.0 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-18 19:30:00 |  Miami Hurricanes |
2-0 | 5 | 28 | 104 | 4.40 | -8.6 | -18.6 | -33.6 | -20.5 |  @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
2-0 | 52 | 16 | 81 | 2.66 | 8.6 | 18.6 | 33.6 | 20.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:30:00 |  Michigan State Spartans |
2-0 | 53 | 31 | 112 | -0.06 | 15.1 | 27.5 | 24.4 | 29.5 |  @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
2-0 | 3 | 22 | 93 | 1.76 | -15.1 | -27.5 | -24.4 | -29.5 | Yes_Sagarin | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:00:00 |  Nevada Wolf Pack |
1-1 | 89 | 93 | 106 | 1.11 | -3.1 | -7.3 | -3.0 | -3.5 |  @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders |
1-1 | 126 | 121 | 129 | 0.19 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 3.5 | Yes_fpi | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 16:15:00 |  Mississippi State Bulldogs |
2-0 | 27 | 18 | 88 | 3.83 | -6.8 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 3.5 |  @ South Carolina Gamecocks |
2-0 | 21 | 64 | 137 | 2.36 | 6.8 | -5.5 | -1.4 | -3.5 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:00:00 |  Troy Trojans |
2-0 | 104 | 57 | 135 | -0.39 | 22.6 | 24.1 | 21.3 | 27.0 |  @ Missouri Tigers |
2-0 | 26 | 13 | 79 | 2.55 | -22.6 | -24.1 | -21.3 | -27.0 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 12:45:00 |  NC State Wolfpack |
1-1 | 58 | 85 | 39 | 1.55 | 4.4 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 4.5 |  @ Vanderbilt Commodores |
2-0 | 39 | 32 | 113 | 1.76 | -4.4 | -7.4 | -1.0 | -4.5 | Yes_Sagarin | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:30:00 |  New Mexico Lobos |
2-0 | 55 | 65 | 138 | 1.81 | 5.3 | 18.1 | 17.4 | 22.0 |  @ Oklahoma Sooners |
1-1 | 11 | 70 | 31 | 2.15 | -5.3 | -18.1 | -17.4 | -22.0 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 23:00:00 |  Purdue Boilermakers |
1-1 | 70 | 103 | 92 | -1.12 | 16.9 | 10.4 | 14.0 | 14.0 |  @ UCLA Bruins |
2-0 | 38 | 10 | 71 | 0.96 | -16.9 | -10.4 | -14.0 | -14.0 | Yes_fpi | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 15:00:00 |  Temple Owls |
1-1 | 93 | 72 | 43 | -2.45 | 37.6 | 7.4 | 0.6 | 5.5 |  @ Toledo Rockets |
1-1 | 76 | 113 | 70 | 2.74 | -37.6 | -7.4 | -0.6 | -5.5 | Yes_Sagarin | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 20:00:00 |  UTSA Roadrunners |
2-0 | 80 | 35 | 117 | 1.12 | 5.8 | 36.8 | 26.1 | 30.0 |  @ Texas Longhorns |
2-0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1.54 | -5.8 | -36.8 | -26.1 | -30.0 | No | Matchup |
| 2026-09-19 19:30:00 |  West Virginia Mountaineers |
2-0 | 61 | 52 | 132 | 0.23 | 22.3 | 14.5 | 14.1 | 10.5 |  vs Virginia Cavaliers |
2-0 | 25 | 24 | 98 | 3.12 | -22.3 | -14.5 | -14.1 | -10.5 | Yes_both | Matchup |
| Gamedate | Team | W/L | Rank | SOR | SOS | Net YPP | YPP Line | FPI Line | Sag Line | Away Vegas Line | Opponent | W/L | Rank | SOR | SOS | Net YPP | YPP Line | FPI Line | Sag Line | Home Vegas Line | Line Advantage | Matchup |
Table keys
| Name | Description |
|---|---|
| W/L | Win/Loss Record |
| SOR | Strength of Record |
| SOS | Strength of Schedule |
| Net YPP | Net Yards per Play |
| YPP Line | Spread based of Pure Yards Per play statistics |
| Away Vegas Line | The current spread on game. Look for difference between this number and away vegas line |
| Name | Description |